SA ports continue downward trend

SA ports continue downward trend

South Africaโ€™s port facilities have been ranked near the bottom of the 2021 Container Port Performance Index (CPPI), released by the World Bank and S&P Global Market Intelligence, reveals CHRIS HATTINGH.

The latest edition of the report ranks 370 facilities, an increase from 351 in the 2020 edition. Cape Town comes in at 365thand Durban at 364th. Gqeberha was the highest-ranked South African facility, at 312th. The low rankings point to the serious work that needs to be done to improve the efficiency and turnaround times of our ports. In the absence of such necessary but unglamorous maintenance and upgrading work, government is wasting time and resources hyping up Localisation Master Plans.

The rankings in the CPPI are based on the time vessels needed to spend in port to complete workloads. The Index uses the metric of โ€œtotal port timeโ€ to determine a portโ€™s performance. Given repeated global supply chain disruptions caused by government lockdowns, changing consumer demands, and various shortages, the operations of various ports would have suffered severe negative impacts.

According to the CPPI, more than 80% of global merchandise trade (by volume) is carried by sea. Furthermore, a significant and growingย proportion of that volume โ€“ accounting for approximately 35% of total volumes and more than 60% of commercial value โ€“ is carried in containers.

Globalisation may well be shifting, and will take on different forms from what we have been used to up to this point. But, over the short-to-medium term, container shipping is likely to remain a vital part of economic activity and, as a consequence, of potential economic growth.

The two top-ranked container ports in the CPPI are Saudi Arabiaโ€™s King Abdullah Port, followed by Omanโ€™s Port of Salalah in second place, with the ports of Hamad (Qatar), Yangshan (Shanghai, China) and Khalifa (United Arab Emirates) completing the top five. Long Beach and Los Angeles inhabit the bottom two spots on the Index; no doubt regulations such as the Jones Act significantly impact port efficiency in the US. Other notable African ports were Maputo (321st), Walvis Bay (328th), and Luanda (366th), while Beira did very well to come in at 270th.

The CPPI characterises poorly performing ports as follows: โ€œLimitations in spatial and operating efficiency, limitations in maritime and landside access, inadequate oversight, and poor coordination between the public agencies involved, resulting in a lack of predictability and reliability.โ€ When a port does not perform as well as it ought to, it increases the cost of imports and exports, reduces the competitiveness of its host country and its hinterland, and inhibits economic growth and poverty reduction.

Given South African portsโ€™ low CPPI rankings for two straight years, as well as the decline in the reliability of the countryโ€™s railways, neighbouring countries such as Mozambique and Namibia are likely to continue reaping the benefits of increased traffic heading their way and then south through land border posts. South Africa should be enjoying increased benefits from an ongoing commodities boom, but state control-focused ideology means that entities such as Transnet have been allowed to steadily choke the countryโ€™s trade infrastructure for many years now.

The spinning off of the Transnet Ports Authority as an independent entity is supposed to signal a turnaround in the performance of the countryโ€™s ports, but up to now it is unclear whether its board is going to be allowed to operate free from political interference. Will it offer private sector investment, along the same lines as has been floated by Transnet regarding its rail infrastructure?

In the case of rail, Transnet remains the owner and custodian of infrastructure โ€“ this no doubt will serve as a significant barrier for private sector capital investment. While government has on numerous occasions reiterated its desire for public-private partnerships, it remains highly unlikely that it will let go of its command-control ideology to the level necessary to allow for real private sector participation and competition.

Moodyโ€™s has forecast inflation in South Africa in 2022 at 8%, while Noel Doyle, CEO of South Africaโ€™s largest food producer Tiger Brands, recently said that he had not seen widespread inflation on this scale in over 20 years. He warned that it could get worse in the grains business, saying that โ€œprobably with the exception of rice, itโ€™s going to be in the upper teens, somewhere north of 15% and up to 20% increasesโ€.

Stats SA has stated that South Africaโ€™s producer price index raced to 13,1% year-on-year in April, up from 11,9% in March; this was the highest read for factory-gate inflation in over 13 years. Given rising inflation and the pressure it will add onto the shoulders of low-to-middle income consumers, it is vital for South Africa to lower or eliminate as many cost-increasing regulations and inefficiencies as possible. Opening up the ports for private investment and competition would be one such crucial step.

South Africa can fiddle with Localisation Master Plans aimed at “re-industrialising” the country and bolstering the manufacturing sector, but without adequate maintenance and upgrades of basic infrastructure โ€“ and in this case, the ports โ€“ localisation will remain an elusive, always-promised but never-delivered dream.ย 

Without serious improvements in the countryโ€™s port infrastructure, exporters โ€“ especially in the Western Cape โ€“ will continue to suffer higher costs and slower outputs, and the possible job opportunities that they could provide through increased investments will not materialise.

Published by

Chris Hattingh

Chris Hattingh is executive director at the Centre For Risk Analysis (CRA). Chris has a special interest in trade, economic, healthcare and investment policy. He is a member of the Global Trade and Innovation Policy Alliance, sits on the advisory council of the Initiative for African Trade and Prosperity, and is a senior fellow at African Liberty. Chris holds an MPhil degree in Business Ethics from Stellenbosch University.
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